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Live Like A Cat

Income

With all this new wonderful technology it should be an exciting time to be alive yet we are seeing a rising wealth and income inequality, we may also found our society unable to adapt if new jobs aren't created fast enough to replace destroyed jobs. This could lead to a situation where only a few members of society are reaping the rewards of all this new amazing technology.

Wealth and Income Inequality

There are some recent, disturbing trends appearing with wealth concentration, The UK has become one of the most unequal countries in the world, The US is even worse, the top 0.1 percent are now worth more than the entire bottom 90 percent of the U.S. population, the top 1 percent of households in the United States received 8.9 percent of all pre-tax income in 1976. In 2012, the top 1 percent share had more than doubled to 22.46 percent. The overall bounty is not being distributed equally, it is quickly accumulating at the top, leaving everyone else with less.

Income Inequality -

Wealth Inequality

Inequality Issues

Countries which are more equal have many economical and societal benefits. Fairer society - “This compelling evidence proves that addressing high and growing inequality is critical to promote strong and sustained growth and needs to be at the centre of the policy debate. Countries that promote equal opportunity for all from an early age are those that will grow and prosper.” The west’s leading economic think-tank dismissed the concept of trickle-down economics as it found that the UK economy would have been more than 20% bigger had the gap between rich and poor not widened since the 1980s.

Very large income differences within countries are damaging, linking greater inequality to worse population health; hundreds of studies show us that life expectancy is longer, and mortality lower, in more equal societies, rates of infant mortality and mental illness are two to four times higher. Inequality wastes Equality - The UNICEF Index of Child Well Being is significantly higher in more equal societies, educational attainment is higher, fewer young people drop out of education, employment and training, and fewer teenage girls become mothers. Notably, social mobility is restricted in very unequal societies – equality of opportunity is shaped by equality of outcomes. human capital and human potential. There is also substantial evidence linking greater equality to better social relationships within societies Better for society - levels of social cohesion, including trust and social capital, are higher in more equal countries. Indicators of women’s status and equality are generally better and rates of both property, crime and violence, especially homicides, increase as income differences widen.

The concentration of wealth is accelerating and incomes are only rising for the rich. Steps to end this trend and redistribute the overall wealth need to be taken, so we as a society can all experience the benefits of the productivity gains and wealth bounty created by technology, instead of just an elite few.

Technological Unemployment

Some economic experts see the new robotic and automation capabilities and are not worried, they say nothing is new and use history to show how technology has always replaced the jobs it destroys with more and better jobs. They have valid arguments, no one can predict what new jobs will be created, just like how 50 years ago no one predicted the internet and the amount of jobs that it would create.

Some technology experts believe that this time new jobs will not be created quickly enough to replace the destroyed jobs. They believe job creation will no longer be able to keep up with the exponential Exponential - Ask someone how long a million seconds is - the answer is 12 days. Ask them to think how long a billion seconds is and they may well answer in days. The answer is 32 years. People struggle with large numbers so it’s no surprise exponential is hard to grasp for some.

After 30 linear steps I’d end up 30 paces or 30 meters away. But if I said to you take 30 exponential steps, one, two, four, eight, sixteen, thirty-two... you would end up a billion meters away, which is twenty-six times around the planet.
trend of Morse Law which is allowing automation technologies to advance at a rate never seen before, this is why some experts argue that this time, it’s different.

What is certain that humans have a limited skill set and each year robots and software are gaining them and improving upon them and with reasonable certainty we can predict in the very near future, which humans skills will be replaced by machines, and the resulting jobs and employment disruption.

Self Driving Cars

The biggest visual example to job disruption will be Self Driving Cars,  Peter Diamandis Peter Diamandis - “You’ll never own a car again. I have two two and a half year old boys. They’re not going to drive when they turn 18. They’re going to have an autonomous car driving them around. Every single car company has announced autonomous cars in their future.” every day these systems go through 3 million miles of simulation testing, they are already being physically tested by many car firms and are completing feats like driving 99% of the distance across America autonomously.

Using the most conservative estimate, expert members of the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE) have estimated that up to 75% of all vehicles will be autonomous Autonomous Vehicles - They will also make car sharing programs more prevalent. They will arrive, take you to your destination and then be ready for the next user. Since cars today are parked for more than 90 percent of their lifetime, shared car services will promote more continuous movement, garner more efficient operation and use less gas. by 2040. We can now be fairly certain that these occupations will experience job losses in the next 25 years.

The Service Industry

We can be fairly certain that automation will be capable of performing many of the jobs in retail in a generation's time. We have already seen the rise of automation in retail via the installation of self checkout in shops and its set to increase  Self Checkout Self Checkout- The total shipments of self-checkout terminals to 27,000 for 2012 — and they forecast that figure to continually increase. The number of self-checkout terminal shipments will soar to 60,000 by 2018. Many new projects will be in the general merchandise sector, notably in mass merchandisers and certain speciality retail subsegments. even more, Self Checkout tills reduces the number of workers operating tills substantially, workers are still needed to stack the shelves and help customers but each of these look like they could be done by robots well within 25 years time. In fact shelf stacking can already be automated and robots can already help humans in shops

Amazon is working on getting items from shelves using robots pickers for their fuffilment centers, Fetch Robotics have released robots Fetch Robots- Fetch Robotics’ system uses a relatively large and capable mobile manipulator (Fetch) to pick items off of warehouse shelves, while Freight, a mobile base, acts as an autonomous cargo delivery cart. Fetch can pick items continuously, while a succession of Freights can switch in and out to move different selections of goods to different parts of the fulfilment center.

Fetch has a grasping range all the way from the floor up to just under two meters and is expected to be able to work 16 hours a day, 365 days a year, for four years before something breaks on it.
which can grab items from shelves and place into baskets. How long until the reverse is possible and all the shelf stacking jobs people perform are no longer needed?
Robot hand technology which can be used to interact with human tools is advancing, NASA has been making great strides in development of robotic limbs, they are about 15 years from creating robotic hands that perform as well as humans, many others are competing in this endeavour including a startup which plans to release a robot with human like hands in 2017 for cooking  robot chef Robots Cooks- Creator Moley Robotics says that when the commercial version launches in 2017 users will be able to select one of 2,000 dishes from their phone and the robotic hands in the automated kitchen will make it.

The hands to be able to pick up and put down utensils, stir food a pan, and then safely turn a hob to the correct temperature.The robotic chef, complete with a purpose-built kitchen, including an oven, hob, dishwasher and sink

If the robot is successful, it could mean we can simply tap a button on our phone to have a meal prepared in time for us coming home from work.
meals. How many peoples job require this skill that could soon be replaced for the above mentioned "chef" robot which costs just £10,000 (around $15,000)?

For the upcoming Darpa Robotics challenge,  DARPA DARPA - Technologies resulting from the DRC will transform the field of robotics and catapult forward development of robots featuring task-level autonomy that can operate in the hazardous, degraded conditions common in disaster zones. robots will have to demonstrate roughly the competence of a two-year-old child, giving them the ability to autonomously carry out simple commands such as “Clear the debris in front of you” or “Close the valve.” Once this is achieved, how long until these 1st generation of Agile Robots Atlas robot  Agile Robots - Much of the world is inaccessible to wheeled machines but not legged ones. Computer scientists have created machines that have the balance and agility to walk and run across rough and uneven terrain, making them far more useful in navigating human environments. are improved and applied to other tasks and zones. Construction  Construction - A team of architects and engineers at the University at Buffalo are designing and programming robots to help on construction sites. The four-legged robot would be able to grab a stack of bricks, carry them across a construction site, climb a ladder and deliver materials to the mason.

New compliant  YuMi Compliant Robots - If Baxter drops a screw while assembling something, it won’t continue on with the task. It will realize it’s dropped a screw, and pick up another before carrying on.

If YuMi picks up a screw, but is holding it in the wrong direction it’s 3D sensing and 3D cameras in its hands will realize and reorient the screw. For simple assembly tasks, an unskilled person can train YuMi to do a task in 20 minutes.
robots like Baxter, Sawyer , KUKA , YuMi , UR3 or Justin , which are safe to work along humans and that even children can program, have just entered the marker targeting low and medium end manufacturing. Baxter has a base-price of $25,000 (£19,000), the equivalent of an average US production worker's annual salary. Baxter and Sawyer together can address many of the estimated 90 percent of manufacturing tasks that cannot be feasibly automated with traditional solutions today. These are the first generation, they will get better  Robot Barrista Baxter - It's performance keeps improving through regular software releases. In 2014 it completed the same task almost 3 times faster versus the 2013 version of the software.
Intera 3 is the latest and by far the most impressive version of our revolutionary software platform for manufacturing and production applications - with twice the speed, precision, and motion quality.
software and hardware and lower in price. As they are refined they will be able to be applied to many other future applications and combined with more features such as wheels so they are mobile, robotic hands so they are dexterous and powerful AI so they can understand their surroundings and work out how to complete various tasks autonomously.  Robot Barrista Autonomous Robot - Robobarista can figure out your new coffee machine, A new deep-learning algorithm enables a robot to operate a machine it has never seen before. In the near future we may have household robots to handle cooking, cleaning and other menial tasks. They will be teachable: Show the robot how to operate your coffee machine, and it will take over from there.
They will work 24/7, with no breaks, holidays, sick days, lateness, distractions, strikes or wage rises.

Advances in AI are allowing more people to be replaced with software e.g. Customer Service Workers Customer Service Workers - "Automated intelligent assistants are already hard at work doing customer support, sales, marketing, retail, healthcare, utilities, education, and hospitality, they are designed to recognize real-world implementations that are the pinnacle of real-time natural language understanding, knowledge management, machine learning, and conversational technologies." or Call centre staff. Call centre staff - Apple’s Siri and Google Now rely on natural user interfaces to recognise spoken words, interpret their meanings, and act on them accordingly. Moreover, a company called SmartAction now provides call computerisation solutions that use ML technology and advanced speech recognition to improve upon conventional interactive voice response systems, realising cost savings of 60 to 80 percent over an outsourced call center consisting of human labour A recent study by 2 researchers at Oxford found nearly half of U.S. jobs, and 70% of low-skill jobs, could be susceptible to computerization over the next two decades. The study found that occupations within the service industry are highly susceptible, 92% for retail salespeople, 97% for cashiers, 96% for general office clerks, 81% for fast food cooks, 96% for restaurant cooks, 87% for food preparation workers and 94% for wait staff. The study also found that there is a 94% probability of accountants, auditors, paralegals and legal assistants all being replaced by software within 20 years.

McKinsey Global Institute found that there were 230+ million Knowledge workers in 2012 which accounts for 9% of the global workforce and 27% of global employment costs. They predict a $5–7 trillion potential economic impact by 2025 of automation of knowledge work. The report which was on disruptive technologies Technologies - Twelve potentially economically disruptive technologies - Renewable energy
- Advanced oil and gas exploration and recovery
- Advanced materials
- 3D printing
- Energy storage
- Autonomous and near-autonomous vehicles
- Next-generation genomics
- Advanced robotics
- Cloud technology
- The Internet of Things. Other technologies on the radar, Automation of knowledge work Mobile Internet. Fusion power ƒ Carbon sequestrationƒ Advanced water purification ƒ and Quantum computing.
also estimated that advanced robotics could generate a potential economic impact of between $1.9tn and $6.4tn per year by 2025. There is nothing unique or special that prevents the the service industry following the same fate as the manufacturing or agriculture industries.

Exponential Growth

Computers keep getting exponentially better due to following Morse Law which allows Machine Learning algorithms such as Deep Learning to be more successful in tools such as Computer Vision  Computer Vision Computer Vision - We're teaching computers to understand pictures, computer vision expert Fei-Fei Li describes the state of the art — including the database of 15 million photos her team built to "teach" a computer to understand pictures — and the key insights yet to come or Natural Language Processing.  NLP Natural Language Processing - The Robot can be programmed by casually talking to it teaching robots to understand instructions in natural language from various speakers, account for missing information, and adapt to the environment at hand. This will allow robots to understand their surrounding and even be programmed to perform tasks verbally eventually. Computers also get cheaper and smaller at a rapid pace due to Morse Law. Morse Law - Scientists and engineers seem to be able to get around the limitations that threaten Moore's law by developing new technologies. There may come a wall, when 2-D silicon chips as we know them today can become no faster in terms of their clock speed, and transistors can get no smaller.
At that point it is likely that 3-dimensional chip stacking will take off, or chips will change their substrate from silicon to graphene, or quantum computing will mature, or completely new silicon architectures will emerge.
What robots learn DARPA - DARPA robot can learn tasks from Youtube video and a neural net can understand video 20 times faster than a human.
“This system allows robots to continuously build on previous learning—such as types of objects and grasps associated with them—which could have a huge impact on teaching and training,”
can be added to a cloud and be used by other robots, creating a huge collective brain that continually improves and accumulates robotics knowledge.  Robot Brain Robot Brain - Hey there! I'm a robot brain. I learn concepts by searching the Internet. I can interpret natural language text, images, and videos. I watch humans with my sensors and learn things from interacting with them. Here are a few things I've learned recently…

The price of robots is dropping while their capabilities increase, this is why spending Robot Spending  Robot Spending - At some factories, robots are even building other robots, producing about 50 robots per 24-hour shift and operating unsupervised for as long as 30 days at a time. on robots worldwide is expected to jump from just over $15 billion in 2010 to about $67 billion by 2025. All this including better sensor technology and more data to use will advance the potential of robots in the future to perform even more complex tasks Jeremy Howard - "In the Industrial Revolution, we saw a step change in capability thanks to engines. The thing is, though, that after a while, things flattened out.
There was social disruption, but once engines were used to generate power in all the situations, things really settled down.
The Machine Learning Revolution is going to be very different, it never settles down. The better computers get at intellectual activities, the more they can build better computers to be better at intellectual capabilities, so this is going to be a kind of change that the world has actually never experienced before, so your previous understanding of what's possible is different."
we never thought they could, tasks which make even self driving cars look elementary in comparison.

Experts are Split

A recent survey conducted by Pew which asked technology experts, will networked, automated, artificial intelligence (AI) applications and robotic devices have displaced more jobs than they have created by 2025?
52% expected that technology will not Pew Report - To be sure, this group anticipates that many jobs currently performed by humans will be substantially taken over by robots or digital agents by 2025. But they have faith that human ingenuity will create new jobs, industries, and ways to make a living, just as it has been doing since the dawn of the Industrial Revolution. displace more jobs than it creates by 2025 while 48% thought it would.

The inventor of the first web browser Marc Andreessen believes that we will create enough new Marc Andreessen - "We have no idea what the fields, industries, businesses, and jobs of the future will be. We just know we will create an enormous number of them.

Because if robots and AI replace people for many of the things we do today, the new fields we create will be built on the huge number of people those robots and AI systems made available.

To argue that huge numbers of people will be available but we will find nothing for them (us) to do is to dramatically short human creativity. And I am way long human creativity."
jobs in time. I, like Bill Gates Bill Gates, - "Software substitution, whether it's for drivers or waiters or nurses … it's progressing, Technology over time will reduce demand for jobs, particularly at the lower end of skill set. 20 years from now, labor demand for lots of skill sets will be substantially lower. I don’t think people have that in their mental model." am not so optimistic about new jobs being created to replace the destroyed jobs in enough time. The reason for low confidence is because of recent trends in the job market, the UK economy shows a shift to low-skilled Blue Collar  Low-skilled job trend - Every 10 middle-skilled jobs that disappeared in the UK between 1996 and 2008, about 4.5 of the replacement jobs were high-skilled and 5.5 were low-skilled. jobs which are generally low paid, and again research New Jobs  New Jobs - Home health care workers, food service workers, retail salespeople and custodians will account for nearly 1 million of the 2.4 million new, low-skill jobs expected to be added in the U.S. by 2017, according to a USA TODAY analysis of jobs data. Driverless vehicles could dramatically affect transportation jobs, the fourth-largest occupation sector and 7% of the workforce. indicates that 70% of low-skill positions have a high risk of being automated in 10 to 20 years, compared to 46% of mid-skill jobs and 8% of high-skill jobs.

One of their rebuttals is that better, higher skilled jobs will be created and people will train to get these higher skilled jobs. Do we expect the 50 year old unemployed truck driver to go back to college and become a data scientist Jeremy Howard - "For example, there will be more jobs for data scientists. Well, not really. It doesn't take data scientists very long to build these things. For example, these four algorithms were all built by the same guy.
Human performance grows at his gradual rate, but we now have a system, deep learning, that we know actually grows in capability exponentially. And we're here. So currently, we see the things around us and we say, "Oh, computers are still pretty dumb." Right? But in five years' time, computers will be off this chart"
or electrical engineer?
Some skills are difficult to learn, almost half of US bachelor’s degree students who entered STEM fields between 2003 and 2009 had left Entry Level Jobs  STEM - A total of 48 percent of bachelor’s degree students and 69 percent of associate’s degree students who entered STEM fields between 2003 and 2009 had left these fields by spring 2009.
Roughly one-half of these leavers switched their major to a non-STEM field, and the rest of them left STEM fields by exiting college before earning a degree or certificate
these fields by spring 2009. The current trend is that women don’t want to study STEM subjects, only about a quarter of workers in STEM fields were women in 2011. Some people just simply can't or don't want to gain certain higher skills.

With many more middle skilled workers being displaced, then young people with just high school qualifications Entry Level Jobs - The entry-level wages for high school-educated men and women in 2011 were far below their 1979 or 1973 levels. For instance, the entry-level hourly wage of a young high school-educated man in 2011 was 25.3 percent less than that for the equivalent worker in 1979, a drop of nearly $4.00 per hour (in 2011 dollars). may find it even harder to compete for jobs. Not everyone will be capable of gaining the skills to perform these higher skilled jobs, or would want to get into huge amounts of debt acquiring them. There may not enough time to completely overhaul the education system and society in time to address this. Marshall Brian, the founder of HowStuffWorks describes the issue we are facing in his free to read wbook The Second Intelligent Species. He questions what happens to the millions of unemployed trucker drivers who enter a job market that already has millions of unemployed workers.

The Pew Report found these reasons to be concerned Pew Report - Half of these experts (48%) envision a future in which robots and digital agents have displaced significant numbers of both blue- and white-collar workers—with many expressing concern that this will lead to vast increases in income inequality, masses of people who are effectively unemployable, and breakdowns in the social order.

  • Impacts from automation have thus far impacted mostly blue-collar employment; the coming wave of innovation threatens to upend white-collar work as well.
  • Certain highly-skilled workers will succeed wildly in this new environment—but far more may be displaced into lower paying service industry jobs at best, or permanent unemployment at worst.
  • Our educational system is not adequately preparing us for work of the future, and our political and economic institutions are poorly equipped to handle these hard choices.

In the the next 25 years we can be fairly certain that low skill jobs that many people perform are the most likely to be replaced by software, robots, machinery and other automation technologies. We also know that the rate of jobs that get outsourced to countries where wages are lower is increasing each year, 2,637,239 US jobs were outsourced Outsourcing - Outsourcing has grown in the last decade, and recent statistics show that more than two million jobs were outsourced in 2013, with many of those opportunities going to workers in China and India. 43% of the IT sector was outsourced, 26% of distribution is now taken care of offshore, 12% of call center jobs are found overseas, and 38% of research and development (R&D) is taken care of by workers outside of the country. in 2013. It might increase even more now that instant translation tools like Skype have become available. This is a very small time frame for low skilled people to adapt.

Conclusion

People will still call it luddism and carry on repeating "new jobs will always be created to replace the destroyed ones", this claim is too uncertain this time round, how certain are you of a brand new industry that will appear in the next 2 decades, which robots can’t already do and won't be able Mark Walker - "Historically, humans have contributed muscle and brains to production but we are now being outcompeted by machinery, in both areas, in many jobs.

Machines are encroaching in the last area that we have a competitive edge. So, unlike the displacement of labor during the First Great Transformation, there is no untapped category for surplus human labor to migrate to.

Even supposing new sectors of the economy open up, their demand for human labor is likely to be very weak since these new sectors too will be faced with the question of whether to employ robots or humans.

The cost advantage will lie with robots for the most part, and so there will be weak demand for human mental labor in the future just as the demand for human muscle dropped precipitously in the past."
to do? Even if it was true, the societal disruption of everyone training to new jobs may be too great while faced with problems of low wages, unemployment and inequality.

Erik Brynjolfsson says. Erik Brynjolfsson - “Recently, we’ve been seeing more of the replacement, more of the automation, and less of the complementing and creating of new jobs.”
Unlike the transition that occurred in the post-War boom, automation is hollowing out the workforce rather than fattening it.
Middle-class jobs are being replaced by robots and computers. As workers are forced out of good-paying factory and clerical positions, many take what they can find, maybe working as a janitor or preparing food at McDonalds.
“It’s not a matter of slowing down the technology, it’s a matter of speeding up our response to it.” Is a 100% employment rate really humanity's end goal? Humans skills are finite, once the robots eventually achieve them should we still make it necessary for people to work, just so they have a job?

I believe what we truly want as a society is less work, more leisure and more wealth for all. This is what all this new technology is offering, the whole purpose of this website is showing how in the future we can be free from work, have our needs met and allow us to spend more of our life doing the things we enjoy, like a cat lives. The next section describes how we can turn this "problem" into the greatest achievement of our civilization.

Solutions to Rising Inequality and Technological Unemployment

CIO President Walter Reuther was being shown through the Ford Motor plant in Cleveland recently.
A company official proudly pointed to some new automatically controlled machines and asked Reuther: “How are you going to collect union dues from these guys?”
Reuther replied: “How are you going to get them to buy Fords?”

In the book The Second Machine Age the two US authors show how a different trend has started to appear between GDP and Wages.
"They used to follow each other but since the end of the 2001 recession real GDP has increased by just about 20%. The number of hours worked, however, has increased by only 2.8% over that same time, and the total number of jobs by 1.9%. Those latter two numbers are pretty close to zero. Is it so hard to believe that a realistic future combination of fast automation and relatively slow GDP growth could cause them to turn negative?" The US labour participation rate fell to 62.7% in September 2014, the lowest since the late 1970s. Productivity is still rising while less people are working, yet not everyone is sharing the benifits from increased productivity. The economy in the UK has grown by 50% over the last 20 years yet pay for those in the middle has only gone up by 20%.

Technological unemployment could accelerate wealth and income inequality. The rich will be able to afford capital such as the robots and this will increase their wealth, because they are now able to achieve a rising output(the robots can work faster and 24/7), and save on labour costs by hiring less people. Their rising wealth will make it able for them to generate more wealth and buy more robots/capital, perpetuating the cycle. This process of destroying jobs will hollow out of the middle class and create a polarisation between the poor and the rich. Luckily there are solutions to address these issues and share out the gains of productivity to everyone.

Maximum Wage

It takes a FTSE 100 CEO just three days to earn the average UK workers' annual salary of £27,000, the average FTSE 100 chief executive was paid the equivalent of nearly £1,200 an hour. Most people would have to work until the year 2172 to earn what they makes in a year. In 1998, the average FTSE 100 CEO was paid 47 times their average employee, this has risen to 143 times in 2013. This article written by MP Iain McKenzie explains how rising income disparities Iain McKenzie - "In these difficult times, we see many struggling, including hard-working families, with the cost of living crisis across the UK today.
That is why I want to focus on one of the obstacles to fairness: the pay gap between the bosses of Britain’s biggest companies and their average employees, which has become even greater over the past couple of years."
are one of the key drivers of inequality and how to address this issue with a Maximum wage solution.

“At Associated British Foods, the gap between the pay of the chief executive and the average worker’s salary was 361 times. In the hospitality conglomerate Whitbread, the gap was 415 times. Worst of all was the pay gap at the media company WPP, where the CEO took home a pay package nearly 800 times bigger than his employees.
Perhaps we should raise the idea of a maximum pay ratio, so that the highest paid employee of an organisation would not be allowed to earn more than a fixed multiple of the amount earned by lowest paid.

Would a democratically enacted maximum pay ratio of, for example, 75:1 really be that extreme in a society that uses zero-hours contracts and relies on food banks? Some forward-looking organisations already operate such a policy unilaterally; for example, John Lewis has capped the ratio at 75:1 and the TSB at 65:1”

A maximum pay ratio would recognise the important principle that all workers should share in a company’s success, this would also reduce the gaps between those at the top and low/middle earners. The High Pay centre have released a manifesto High Pay Centre - Typical annual pay for a FTSE 100 CEO has risen from around £100- £200,000 in the early 1980s to £4.3 million in 2012. This represented a leap from around 20 times the pay of the average UK worker in the 1980s to 160 times in 2012 on how to make top pay fairer, the report found that 78% of the public would support a maximum limit on the amount the highest-paid employee of a company can be paid in relation to the lowest-paid. The government needs to enforce these policies to reduce income and wealth inequality.

There is already a successful business model which adopts a fair wage ratio between workers called Worker Cooperatives that the government should encourage more. Worker Cooperatives have company-wide profit-sharing so that all employees benefit proportionally from a company’s success, they have a maximum pay ratio meaning that executives cannot earn more than a certain multiple of their lowest-paid employee. Worker Cooperatives are a democratic organisation, each employee own the company so employees each have a democratic voice in how the company is run.

Worker Cooperatives

The Mondragon Corporation is a corporation and federation of worker cooperatives based in the Basque region of Spain, It is the world's biggest workers co-operative with annual sales over £13 billion ($19.44 billion). At the end of 2013, it employed 74,061 people in 257 companies and organizations in four areas of activity: finance, industry, retail and knowledge. At Mondragon, there are agreed-upon wage ratios between executive work and field or factory work which earns a minimum wage. These ratios range from 3:1 to 9:1 in different cooperatives and average 5:1. That is, the general manager of an average Mondragon cooperative earns no more than 5 times as much as the theoretical minimum wage paid in his/her cooperative.

They are a Democratic organisation, Its worker members own MCC(Mondragon Cooperative Corporation) collectively and make all its basic decisions, no private or individual ownership of MCC exists. In the MCC, the worker-members exercise the final power over capital (machines, technology, cash, investments). The greatest responsibility of the worker-owner is participation in decision making. Decision Making. - The MCC mandate of ‘one worker, one vote’ applies to decision-making in each individual cooperative enterprise and at the corporate level of MCC.

Worker-members vote on their individual cooperative’s direct management and internal affairs. They do the same for the MCC as a corporation by means of (1) democratically electing representatives to the Co-operative Congress and (2) voting on referenda that the Congress submits for worker-members’ approval.
They are not just, as in capitalism, “the workers.” The managers each have one share, like the workers; because the workers outnumber the managers and democratic votes settle all matter, the workers can fire the managers, not the other way around.

The Mondragon Worker Cooperative Corporation has showed remarkable resistance to abandoning its basic commitments through six decades of challenges and adjustments to economic changes. It demonstrates – indeed, proves - the possibility, the durability, the relative efficiency and competitive success of cooperative enterprises that should be recognized, commended, and replicated on a global scale. Economist Richard D Wolff gives a fantastic lecture to help people understand how the Mondragon Worker Cooperative Corporation works.

The United Kingdom is home to a widespread and diverse co-operative movement, with over 3 million individual members. Modern co-operation started with a shop Rochdale Principals - They created 10 Basic Co-operative Principles to run the business by. - Open Admission
- Democratic Organisation
- the Sovereignty of Labour
- Instrumental and Subordinate Nature of Capital
- Participatory Management
- Payment Solidarity
- Inter-cooperation
- Social Transformation
- Universality
- Education
in the northern English town of Rochdale in 1844. The largest examples of a British worker cooperatives include, Suma Wholefoods, Bristol-based Essential Trading Co-operative, Brighton-based Infinity Foods Cooperative Ltd and the retail giant John Lewis Partnership. The Worker Cooperative Code of Governance explains how to use the co-operative principles to create a good co-operative businesses.

The Co-operative group claims the prevalence of profit-sharing schemes, along with other mandatory John Lewis-style approaches in France, contributes to higher levels of productivity than the UK. In 2012 France had the second highest level of productivity per hour worked in the G7, more than 30% higher than the UK, which is languishing in sixth. A poll found 76% of the British public are in favour of employees having a bigger say in how a company is run and introducing compulsory profit sharing in the UK. The Co-operative Party’s plans for compulsory profit sharing would affect 53% of the people currently employed in the UK. Office for National Statistics figures on company size suggest there are 36,000 companies with 50 or more employees in the UK, employing a total of 12.9 million people. At one FTSE 100 company, the profit share for the average worker could be almost £4,000 per year.

The government needs to encourage more companies and entrepreneurs to follow the worker cooperative model and to give workers the statutory right to request employee ownership. These steps will reduce income and wealth inequality and allow democracy in the work place. Politicians like Bernie Sanders pushes  Bernie Sanders Bernie Sanders - “By expanding employee ownership and participation, we can create stronger companies, simply put, when employees have an ownership stake in their company, they will not ship their own jobs to China to increase their profits, they will be more productive, have better working conditions and they will earn a better living.” for worker co-ops for these reasons.

Basic Income

Give a man a fish, he eats for a day. Teach a man to fish, he eats for a lifetime.
Build a robot to fish, do all men starve, or do all men eat?"

Basic Income works by giving everyone enough money to be able to sustain themselves. Everyone receives the same amount, Everyone receives it - ‘Why giving basic income to even the richest makes sense’ Scott Santens blog post helps to understand the reason behind giving everyone a basic income. regardless of income. Right now there are not enough jobs for each person who wants to work. In early 2015 in the UK, about 1.3 million people were in part-time jobs when they wanted full-time work, the number of people classed as economically inactive or unemployed was 10.8 million. In 2015 there were 743,000 job vacancies across the UK, there isn't currently enough full jobs in the UK for the people who works part time to get, nevermind everyone else. The US stats are similar. Jobs - In March 2015, the U.S. underemployment rate was at 15.5 percent. "The rate is created by adding unemployed workers, who are looking for work, to the amount of workers employed part time but seeking full-time work"

The working age population is just over 200 million, if 15.5% are looking for full time work that means approximately 30m people are looking for work, lets be generous and say 2/3's of these people are disabled or in college, that leaves at the very least 10 million people available to work.

There were only 5.1 million job openings on the last business day of February 2015.
The theory Guaranteed Income- This cracked podcast segment explains the reasoning behind a basic income perfectly. behind basic income is that even if you can't find work, even if you don't want to work, at least you can still function as a human being and have an income, it means every citizen has a right to a minimum level of subsistence.

People hear this and its met with cries of outrage at the suggestion of giving people money for no reason. They believe it will be the end of society because "why would anyone do any work if you can just sit at home and get a cheque?" Yet as demonstrated above, we don't have enough jobs now, so if someone doesn't want a job and just sits at home they have just freed up a job Mark Walker - “When the number of unemployed greatly exceeds the number of jobs available, as clearly happened during the Great Recession, it makes no sense to say that everyone ought to get a job. There is a composition fallacy at work.

It may be true that each runner might win the race but it does not follow that every runner can win the race. Similarly, even if each unemployed person could get a job, it does not follow that every unemployed person can get a job.

If the economy is not producing enough jobs, then those who give up are making it possible for others to find work.“
for someone who wants one. The people who can't work can still keep buying things, the money is going to be spent, not saved, it gets injected right back into the economy.

People will say society will grind to a halt yet currently 22.1% of people aged 16 to 64 are not in the labour force and productivity still keeps going up, the stuff we want is still getting done but with less labour being put in, In the 1960s, only one in 20 American men between 25 and 54 was not working. According to Mr Summers’s extrapolations, in ten years the number could be one in seven. Currently 13 people can produce enough cotton for 9.4 million T-shirts.
If less people are required to make the things we need then surely thats a good for society?

The government is set up in this grossly inefficient administration system of monitoring, assessing and controlling so assistance is only allowed under certain requirements, Requirements - Approximately 100,000,000 of these working-age adults in the United States receive varying degrees of welfare benefits from many different programs, there are more working-age people in the United States receiving some form of welfare than there are working-age people who do not. which costs a huge amount of money to measure and determine. We have a system to give money to people but we have to disguise it as payments in a series of ways to make them socially acceptable, we don't have a flat rate that says this is least you can get and if you want anymore you have to work. What we do instead is invent a hundred different politically correct ways to send people money, you can get it if you are sick, a child, a veteran, old, disabled, jobless - and you can't just get money, the government has to specify its for certain things like buying food with food stamps, because thats more palatable to the general public as they see food as a necessity. Any time someone gets money you have to invent some cover for why they get it, can it not just be because they are a human being?

If Republican governor Sam Brownback signs a new social services bill, Kansas will have some of the US’s most severe measures to block welfare recipients from spending the state funds at swimming pools, nail salons and movie theaters and limit how much they can withdraw each day. Last month, two bills passed in the Missouri house that would similarly limit how people can spend food stamps. The legislation seeks to prevent people from using food stamps to buy soda, cookies, chips, seafood, steak and porn.
There are more working-age people in the United States receiving some form of welfare than there are working-age people who do not.
I feel this point really needs to be emphasised in response to the above plans for welfare recipients.

The general public have been trained well, certain media has gone to great lengths to demonise the poor so when draconian laws like this, which punish people who receive welfare, the public are more acceptable to them. The people in power want to make us turn our heads away from the rich and instead look down on the poor like they are the ones who have it too good, that they are selfish and naughty little children who need to be taught lessons and think "How dare those greedy poor people be allowed cookies?". They need to be punished more until they finally take one of the good paying jobs that are so common in every state...

“It’s as if middle-class and wealthy Americans think poor people live under the poverty line by choice, as if a sensible person would choose to subsist on so little.”- Jeanine Lister. This trend and hypocrisy of the goverment treating the poor like second class citizens and monitoring and controlling what they can buy and do sounds worryingly Orwellian and a type of society I want absolutely no part in. We as a society need to get out of the monstrous mentality that the unemployed are ”lazy scroungers”, “social parasites”, “not looking hard enough for jobs” and other demonising views which describe them as terrible, selfish people who should be looked down upon. It is victim blaming. The system we have does not provide enough jobs for everyone who wants one, it does not even provide enough full time jobs for the people who have part time jobs, the system should get the abuse and criticism, not the victims of a failing system.

This is the biggest hurdle that a basic income faces, media and culture has successfully made people warped, brainwashed and convinced of the impossible ideology that everyone has to work for a living. Buckminster Fuller - "We must do away with the absolutely specious notion that everybody has to earn a living. It is a fact today that one in ten thousand of us can make a technological breakthrough capable of supporting all the rest.

The youth of today are absolutely right in recognising this nonsense of earning a living. We keep inventing jobs because of this false idea that everybody has to be employed at some kind of drudgery because, according to Malthusian-Darwinian theory, they must justify their right to exist.

So we have inspectors of inspectors and people making instruments for inspectors to inspect inspectors. The true business of people should be to go back to school and think about whatever it was they were thinking about before somebody came along and told them they had to earn a living."
A basic income preserves incentive, opportunity and responsibility, it removes the fear of unemployment, poverty and saving traps. A humane society would take care of everyone, especially the most vulnerable people who can’t find work in a system that does not provide enough jobs. A basic income Marshall Brain  Marshall Brain - If you would like a different way of thinking about a basic income solution then this thought experiment and discussion by Marshall Brain describes a simplified society and why a basic income would be beneficial. ensures adequate safety-nets for the poorest.

Benefits of a Basic Income

A Basic Income or its other name, Citizens/Guaranteed Income, would give some reward to those whose voluntary caring contribution Contribution - By helping to break down the barriers between employment and unemployment, a Citizen's Income would enable workers to develop more flexible patterns of work that would be more consistent with their own needs to society is so important, but currently unrecognised. It would ensure that those seeking higher education, training or re-training would be able to take advantage of a small secure income. The Citizen's Income would redistribute Redistribute - People in the lower earnings deciles are generally more likely to consume goods and services than those in higher deciles, and the well recognised multiplier effect would increase Gross Domestic Product. net income slightly from higher earners to lower earners and because the poor are more likely to spend money on basic goods and services, the producers of these would benefit. Expenditure savings would arise because the CI payments would replace Replace - The Exchequer would get more revenue,
a) because the Income Tax base would be wider,
b) because employees' and self-employed people's National Insurance contributions could be integrated into the new style Income Tax
c) because fewer people would be caught in the poverty and unemployment traps and more people would be able to contribute through their earnings.
most existing benefits, and they would be a far less costly system to administer than the existing tax and benefits system.

Recently, three unconditional basic income schemes were tested in India, funded by Unicef. Altogether, more than 6,000 men, women and children received it, with the children’s money paid to the mother. It had four main effects

These four effects Federico Pistono  What if everybody got free cash? - Federico Pistono gives an excellent talk on basic income and the results found from these trials, programme, – welfare, equity, growth and emancipation – combine to be transformative. “ Basic Income has also been tested in developed countries like Canada and the USA with positive results

Funding a Basic Income

The citizen's income trust worked out how to pay for a partial basic income in the UK. It is intended to be revenue and cost neutral. People aged 0 to 24 would get £51.85, 25 to 64 would get £65.45 and people aged 65 and over would receive £132.60 a week at a cost of £232.9bn a year. The estimated total cost of benefits and tax reliefs and allowances that would be replaced is £239bn.

This would be the first step to implementing a full basic income. It does not need to start at a huge amount on day one. It can be introduced incrementally, small payments initially which eventually grow to the final Citizen's Income system or segmented where one age cohort is tackled at a time. Once the inefficiency in the system has been removed, including the social stigma surrounding welfare,  Martin Ford Martin Ford - "The very conventional solution that we're always offered which was give people more training, give them more education so they can do a higher level job, that simply may not work because those jobs are also quite likely to be automated.
So I think we need to do something different and what I have proposed is that eventually we're going to have to move toward a Guaranteed Income where everybody is guaranteed at least some livable income in our society."
the next step would be to find ways to increase it to a full basic income. Getting started is key. Need for a BI- Martin Ford cites a recent jobs summit he attended with about fifty tech-company CEOs. "Here in Silicon Valley, there's a remarkable consensus about this. Every single person agreed we're on the leading edge of a disruption, and we're going to have to move to a guaranteed basic income. There was overwhelming support for that."

Some ways to increase the Basic Income amount in the UK;

A Basic Income would eliminate poverty, distribute wealth more evenly and is shown to increase economic activity. For society to be prepared for technological unemployment and still enjoy the wealth it creates equally, then a Basic Income is a crucial requirement that governments must put into place.

Raise Minimum Wage

It’s quite ironic when the “Everyone must work for a living” crowd demand the unemployed to get jobs that don’t even pay a living wage and it's even more absurd when the people most against raising the minimum wage are CEO's who earn millions a year + bonuses.

The Living Wage is calculated according to the basic cost of living in the UK, the minimum wage is getting further away from the living wage, In 2011 the difference between the minimum wage and living wage in England was £1.12. By 2014 the difference had increased to 1.35, the minimum wage is getting harder and harder to live on. A living wage is good for business, Work Improvement - An independent study examining the business benefits of implementing a Living Wage policy in London found that more than 80% of employers believe that the Living Wage had enhanced the quality of the work of their staff, while absenteeism had fallen by approximately 25%. 75% of employees reported increases in work quality as a result of receiving the Living Wage. families and society. Society Improvement - It has been estimated that by increasing the National Minimum Wage to a Living Wage some 4.8 million workers would see an extra £4bn in take home pay. To ensure that work really pays for the poorest the government needs to raise the minimum wage to a living wage.

Equal Pay

In 2012, comparing all work, women earned 18.6% less per hour than men. Overall, women constitute the majority of those in low paid work: almost two-thirds (63%) of those earning £7 per hour or less are women. Female graduates earn thousands of pounds less than their male counterparts - even if they studied the same subject at university. One in five men are paid more than £30,000 after their degree, compared with just 8% of women who earn the same. Women and parents need to be supported with universal affordable childcare. Gender inequality needs to be addressed, equal pay legislation and more economic policies are needed to give women a fair deal.

Reduce Work Week

In 1930, Keynes predicted that living standards in "progressive countries" would be eight times higher and this would allow the working week to be drastically cut to 15 hours a week. Living standards in developed western economies have seen rapid growth; by 2030 it is likely that they will have risen at least eightfold.
Keynes prediction in productivity looks to be coming true but his prediction in reduced work hours is spectacularly wrong. Rising living standards have not led to people working less.

We need to copy France and reduce the work week to 35 hours, in 2012, France had the second highest level of productivity per hour worked in the G7, more than 30% higher than the UK, which is languishing in sixth. Reducing hours will create more jobs for the hours  France Job Creation - Very simplistic calculation, not accounting for any logistics - Lets say 20 million people currently in work have hours reduced,
If the work week was cut by 5 hours too 35 like in France,
that would leave 100 million hours of work still to do each week,
to fill this gap up you would need almost 3 million extra people working 35 hours a week.
that need to be filled, help alleviate technological unemployment. Vivek Wadhwa - "The only solution that I see is a shrinking work week. We may perhaps be working for 10 to 20 hours a week instead of the 40 for which we do today.
And with the prices of necessities and of what we today consider luxury goods dropping exponentially, we may not need the entire population to be working.
There is surely a possibility for social unrest because of this; but we could also create the utopian future we have long dreamed of, with a large part of humanity focused on creativity and enlightenment."
This is a step towards more leisure which we should rightly be experiencing thanks to technology and increased production, like Keynes predicted.

Conclusion

This section is the longest on this website because I believe this is the most important in determining a future which is good for all. The hope of abundance is obstructed by this problem, as well as housing. Every other necessity looks solvable thanks to technology.

What may be required eventually is a completely different system to capitalism Michio Kaku - “If you read the newspaper there's this roaring debate, tax the rich, tax the poor, who’s to blame? What I’m saying is the economy is changing, this is the sign of the decline of an empire, of an empire that doesn't even know it, thats talking about inequality without understanding why?

The economy is changing, it is becoming more technologically, It’s making the transformation from commodity capitalism to intellectual capitalism. As Tony Blair likes to say, “England rises more revenue from rock n roll than it does the coal mining industry” because coal mining is a commodity industry its time has come and gone in many place but rock n roll, people will spend money on intellectual capital. Movies, books, science, technology, that's the shift we are seeing in the world economy, so the nations of the future will be richer nations if they understand this link between commodity capital and intellectual capital.”
in the future, maybe a socialist or marxist approach may be necessary to distribute the means of productions(the robots) to the people to prevent only a few from owning them. Just like how the people revolted to get rid of feudalism, the same might happen to capitalism if current trends continue. An Economist Thomas Piketty, released a best selling book last year called Capital in the 21st Century. Piketty's argument is that, in an economy where the rate of return on capital outstrips the rate of growth, inherited wealth will always grow faster than earned wealth. “If you get slow growth alongside better financial returns, then inherited wealth will, on average, dominate wealth amassed from a lifetime's labour by a wide margin", says Piketty. “Wealth will concentrate to levels incompatible with democracy, let alone social justice. Capitalism, in short, automatically creates levels of inequality that are unsustainable. The rising wealth of the 1% is neither a blip, nor rhetoric.”

The future is not set in stone; it depends on the social and political choices that we make. This is a turning point in humanity and it could very much lead to Star Trek type utopia but the current trend is all the technological gains and wealth that is generated is not being shared equally. There are solutions but implementing them will not be easy but it will cause much greater difficulty in the long run if nothing is done. If we do not adjust the current system quickly to cope with the job loses and uneven distribution of wealth and income then this fantastic opportunity, Jeremy Rifkin - "The emerging new economy offers greater potential opportunity for self-development and promises more intense rewards than traditional employment.
And since intelligent technology will do most of the heavy lifting in an economy centred on sustainable abundance rather than scarcity, in a half-century from now our grandchildren may look back at mass-market employment with the same disbelief with which we look upon slavery and serfdom.
The idea that a human being's worth was measured almost exclusively by his or her productive output of goods, services and material wealth will seem primitive, even barbaric."
will turn into a monumental disaster.

To progress as a society and achieve a better life for the next generation;

We can already imagine a utopian society without jobs or work, we are now beginning to see technology and robots which may make this possible one day. Our own goal, as a human species, could be to create a heaven on earth. I think a Resource Based Economy may be a good ideal to try to achieve for humanity in the long run. If we are successful in using all of this wonderful technology to our advantage and spread the overall bounty evenly then these goals may one day, step by step, be possible.



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